2026 Senate baseline

Senate Forecast

House forecast
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National Environment

Even

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Race Polling Blend

0%

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Dem caucus 0
Republicans 0
Seat Margin --
Closest Race --

Other independents: 0. No caucus affiliation assumed.

Estimated Seats Over Time

Weekly estimates from dated RCP averages and then-current model inputs, plus today.

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Senate Races

RCP averages and our averages both enter the polling blend. Our averages use the latest poll per pollster within 60 days; one-poll averages are labeled. Select a state to see the included surveys.

State Forecast / Win Chance Seat Held By 2024 Pres. Lean Last Seat Result 2024 Senate Baseline Blend Race polling Polymarket Rating